Albania
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Teuta Durrës the likeliest champion, at 37.9%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teuta Durrës | 31 | 37.9% |
| 2 | KS Egnatia | 30 | 32.6% |
| 3 | Dinamo Tirana | 29 | 19.9% |
| 4 | KF Laçi | 25 | 4.1% |
| 5 | AF Elbasani | 24 | 1.9% |
| 6 | KF Tirana | 23 | 1.4% |
| 7 | Partizani Tirana | 22 | 1.0% |
| 8 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 20 | 0.6% |
| 9 | Vora | 20 | 0.4% |
| 10 | Skënderbeu Korça | 20 | 0.2% |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teuta Durrës | 38 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||
| KS Egnatia | 33 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 20 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| KF Laçi | 4 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
| AF Elbasani | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 4 |
| KF Tirana | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| Partizani Tirana | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 24 |
| Vora | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 25 | |
| Skënderbeu Korça | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 23 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct | AF Elbasani | Vora | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Sat 10 Oct | Teuta Durrës | Skënderbeu Korça | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Sun 11 Oct | KF Laçi | KS Egnatia | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Sun 11 Oct | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Sun 11 Oct | Partizani Tirana | KF Tirana | 43% | 29% | 28% |