Belgium
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes FC Brügge the likeliest champion, at 51.9%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Brügge | 77 | 51.9% |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 76 | 44.4% |
| 3 | KAA Gent | 66 | 3.1% |
| 4 | RSC Charleroi | 59 | 0.2% |
| 5 | RSC Anderlecht | 59 | 0.3% |
| 6 | KRC Genk | 58 | 0.1% |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 48 | |
| 8 | VV St. Truiden | 45 | |
| 9 | Standard Lüttich | 45 | |
| 10 | Royal Antwerpen | 43 | |
| 11 | SV Zulte Waregem | 42 | |
| 12 | KV Mechelen | 40 | |
| 13 | Lommel SK | 39 | |
| 14 | Cercle Brügge | 35 | |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 34 | |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | |
| 17 | Beveren | 29 | |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 27 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Brügge | 52 | 39 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 44 | 43 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| KAA Gent | 3 | 11 | 45 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | |||||||||||
| RSC Charleroi | 3 | 13 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| RSC Anderlecht | 2 | 12 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| KRC Genk | 2 | 11 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| KVC Westerlo | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
| VV St. Truiden | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Standard Lüttich | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Royal Antwerpen | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||||
| SV Zulte Waregem | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||||
| KV Mechelen | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Lommel SK | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | |||||
| Cercle Brügge | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 6 | ||||||
| OH Leuven | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 7 | ||||||
| RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 23 | ||||||||
| Beveren | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 21 | |||||||||
| KV Kortrijk | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 39 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
No fixtures left to simulate. The last one in this forecast was some time ago. The table above is the forecast as it stood then, and it will move again once the new season has matches on record.