Estonia
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Levadia Tallinn the likeliest champion, at 100.0%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia Tallinn | 95 | 100.0% |
| 2 | Paide Linnameeskond | 65 | |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 63 | |
| 4 | Nõmme Kalju | 62 | |
| 5 | JK Tammeka | 56 | |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 48 | |
| 7 | FC Kuressaare | 42 | |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 41 | |
| 9 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 39 | |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 22 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn | 100 | |||||||||
| Paide Linnameeskond | 54 | 36 | 10 | |||||||
| Flora Tallinn | 36 | 19 | 46 | |||||||
| Nõmme Kalju | 10 | 46 | 45 | |||||||
| JK Tammeka | 100 | |||||||||
| Harju JK Laagri | 100 | |||||||||
| FC Kuressaare | 64 | 27 | 10 | |||||||
| Nõmme United | 36 | 50 | 14 | |||||||
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 77 | ||||||||
| Trans Narva | 100 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7 Nov | Levadia Tallinn | Nõmme Kalju | 61% | 14% | 25% |
| Sat 7 Nov | Trans Narva | Harju JK Laagri | 43% | 15% | 41% |
| Sat 7 Nov | FC Kuressaare | Nõmme United | 48% | 15% | 37% |
| Sat 7 Nov | Paide Linnameeskond | Flora Tallinn | 42% | 15% | 42% |
| Sat 7 Nov | JK Tammeka | Parnu JK Vaprus | 54% | 15% | 31% |