Finland
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes HJK Helsinki the likeliest champion, at 96.6%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 64 | 96.6% |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 61 | 3.4% |
| 3 | KuPS | 61 | |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 51 | |
| 5 | IF Gnistan | 49 | |
| 6 | Vaasa PS | 47 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki | 97 | 3 | ||||
| Inter Turku | 3 | 53 | 44 | |||
| KuPS | 44 | 56 | ||||
| AC Oulu | 75 | 25 | ||||
| IF Gnistan | 25 | 49 | 26 | |||
| Vaasa PS | 26 | 74 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov | IF Gnistan | Vaasa PS | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Sun 8 Nov | KuPS | Inter Turku | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Sun 8 Nov | HJK Helsinki | AC Oulu | 59% | 26% | 15% |