Greece

One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Panathinaikos the likeliest champion, at 64.1%.

Predicted final table

Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.

Predicted final table for Greece
#	Club	Points	Title
1	Panathinaikos	65	64.1%
2	Olympiakos Piräus	63	32.5%
3	PAOK	55	1.4%
4	AEK Athen	54	2.0%
5	Aris Thessaloniki	43
6	OFI Kreta	40
7	Iraklis 1908	31
8	Kalamata	29
9	Kifisia	29
10	Panetolikos	27
11	Levadiakos	27
12	Asteras Tripolis	26
13	Atromitos	25
14	Volos	19

Where each club finishes

Probability of each finishing position, Greece
Club	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Panathinaikos	64	27	7	2
Olympiakos Piräus	33	53	12	3
PAOK	1	11	41	40	5	1
AEK Athen	2	9	38	45	5	1
Aris Thessaloniki			1	7	52	32	7	1	1
OFI Kreta			1	3	33	44	13	4	2	1
Iraklis 1908					3	8	26	23	12	11	8	5	4	1
Kalamata					1	5	17	16	17	13	12	10	6	2
Kifisia						3	13	19	19	16	13	9	7	2
Panetolikos					1	2	8	11	12	15	16	16	14	5
Levadiakos						2	6	12	14	17	14	14	14	5
Asteras Tripolis						1	5	8	11	12	15	18	18	12
Atromitos						2	5	7	10	12	17	18	18	11
Volos								1	2	3	5	9	20	61

Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.

Fixtures

Upcoming fixtures in Greece with win, draw and loss probabilities
Date	Home	Away	Home win	Draw	Away win
Sat 7 Nov	Aris Thessaloniki	Panetolikos	65%	25%	10%
Sat 7 Nov	Volos	Kifisia	36%	32%	32%
Sun 8 Nov	Asteras Tripolis	Kalamata	44%	31%	24%
Sun 8 Nov	OFI Kreta	Atromitos	52%	30%	19%
Sun 8 Nov	Olympiakos Piräus	PAOK	61%	26%	13%
Sun 8 Nov	Iraklis 1908	Panathinaikos	11%	25%	64%
Sun 8 Nov	AEK Athen	Levadiakos	76%	19%	5%