Hungary

One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Ferencváros Budapest the likeliest champion, at 85.6%.

Predicted final table

Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.

Predicted final table for Hungary
#	Club	Points	Title
1	Ferencváros Budapest	73	85.6%
2	ETO FC Győr	64	11.9%
3	Puskás Akadémia FC	57	1.9%
4	DVSC	52	0.3%
5	Paksi FC	51	0.2%
6	Újpest	46	0.1%
7	Zalaegerszegi TE FC	42
8	Vasas Budapest	39
9	Honvéd	38
10	Kisvárda FC	37
11	MTK Budapest	37
12	Nyíregyháza	35

Where each club finishes

Probability of each finishing position, Hungary
Club	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ferencváros Budapest	86	13	2
ETO FC Győr	12	60	20	6	2	1
Puskás Akadémia FC	2	18	40	23	11	4	2	1
DVSC		5	19	29	23	13	5	3	2		1
Paksi FC		3	14	25	26	15	8	5	2	1	1
Újpest			4	9	18	25	17	12	7	4	2	1
Zalaegerszegi TE FC			1	3	7	13	17	16	16	13	9	5
Vasas Budapest			1	2	5	9	15	17	16	14	11	10
Honvéd				1	3	7	11	14	17	18	15	14
Kisvárda FC				1	3	5	9	13	13	17	22	18
MTK Budapest				1	2	6	10	11	16	18	18	18
Nyíregyháza					1	2	5	8	12	15	22	34

Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.

Fixtures

Upcoming fixtures in Hungary with win, draw and loss probabilities
Date	Home	Away	Home win	Draw	Away win
Sat 7 Nov	Kisvárda FC	Puskás Akadémia FC	29%	24%	46%
Sat 7 Nov	MTK Budapest	Honvéd	45%	24%	31%
Sat 7 Nov	Paksi FC	Zalaegerszegi TE FC	51%	23%	25%
Sun 8 Nov	DVSC	Újpest	49%	24%	27%
Sun 8 Nov	Nyíregyháza	ETO FC Győr	21%	23%	56%
Sun 8 Nov	Vasas Budapest	Ferencváros Budapest	11%	18%	71%