Kosovo
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes KF Malisheva the likeliest champion, at 54.7%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KF Malisheva | 23 | 54.7% |
| 2 | FC Prishtina | 21 | 45.3% |
| 3 | KF Dukagjini | 17 | |
| 4 | FC Ballkani | 16 | |
| 5 | KF Gjilani | 15 | |
| 6 | KF Drita | 14 | |
| 7 | Drenica | 12 | |
| 8 | Feronikeli | 9 | |
| 9 | KF Llapi | 6 | |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 4 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KF Malisheva | 55 | 45 | ||||||||
| FC Prishtina | 45 | 55 | ||||||||
| KF Dukagjini | 62 | 22 | 12 | 4 | ||||||
| FC Ballkani | 24 | 39 | 20 | 15 | 2 | |||||
| KF Gjilani | 6 | 19 | 35 | 23 | 16 | 2 | ||||
| KF Drita | 8 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 18 | 1 | ||||
| Drenica | 5 | 12 | 20 | 57 | 6 | |||||
| Feronikeli | 1 | 1 | 7 | 79 | 12 | |||||
| KF Llapi | 12 | 68 | 20 | |||||||
| Vushtrria | 1 | 19 | 80 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct | KF Gjilani | Drenica | 50% | 22% | 27% |
| Tue 13 Oct | FC Ballkani | KF Drita | 40% | 23% | 36% |
| Wed 14 Oct | Feronikeli | KF Llapi | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| Wed 14 Oct | KF Dukagjini | Vushtrria | 65% | 19% | 15% |
| Thu 15 Oct | KF Malisheva | FC Prishtina | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Sat 17 Oct | KF Llapi | KF Drita | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| Sun 18 Oct | KF Gjilani | Feronikeli | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Sun 18 Oct | KF Malisheva | Vushtrria | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Mon 19 Oct | FC Ballkani | FC Prishtina | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Mon 19 Oct | KF Dukagjini | Drenica | 51% | 22% | 27% |