Latvia

One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Rīgas FS the likeliest champion, at 100.0%.

Predicted final table

Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.

Predicted final table for Latvia
#	Club	Points	Title
1	Rīgas FS	93	100.0%
2	Riga FC	85
3	FK Auda	75
4	BFC Daugavpils	53
5	FK Liepāja	51
6	Super Nova	40
7	FK Jelgava	35
8	SC Grobiņa	31
9	FK Tukums 2000	26
10	Ogre United	21

Where each club finishes

Probability of each finishing position, Latvia
Club	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rīgas FS	100
Riga FC		100
FK Auda			100
BFC Daugavpils				88	12
FK Liepāja				12	88
Super Nova						100
FK Jelgava							100
SC Grobiņa								100
FK Tukums 2000									100
Ogre United										100

Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.

Fixtures

Upcoming fixtures in Latvia with win, draw and loss probabilities
Date	Home	Away	Home win	Draw	Away win
Sun 8 Nov	FK Jelgava	Ogre United	42%	30%	28%
Sun 8 Nov	Super Nova	BFC Daugavpils	23%	30%	47%
Sun 8 Nov	Riga FC	Rīgas FS	41%	30%	28%
Sun 8 Nov	FK Tukums 2000	FK Auda	13%	25%	61%
Sun 8 Nov	SC Grobiņa	FK Liepāja	19%	28%	52%