Lithuania
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes FK Kauno Žalgiris the likeliest champion, at 100.0%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Žalgiris | 66 | 100.0% |
| 2 | FK Sūduva | 61 | |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 59 | |
| 4 | Žalgiris Vilnius | 57 | |
| 5 | FK Banga | 52 | |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 50 | |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 49 | |
| 8 | Siauliai FA | 29 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Kauno Žalgiris | 100 | |||||||
| FK Sūduva | 77 | 23 | ||||||
| FK Transinvest | 23 | 77 | ||||||
| Žalgiris Vilnius | 100 | |||||||
| FK Banga | 89 | 11 | ||||||
| Dziugas Telsiai | 11 | 67 | 23 | |||||
| FK Panevezys | 23 | 77 | ||||||
| Siauliai FA | 100 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov | FK Transinvest | FK Kauno Žalgiris | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Sun 8 Nov | FK Panevezys | Siauliai FA | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Sun 8 Nov | FK Banga | Žalgiris Vilnius | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Sun 8 Nov | FK Sūduva | Dziugas Telsiai | 47% | 28% | 25% |