Luxembourg
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes FC Differdingen 03 the likeliest champion, at 43.4%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 62 | 40.9% |
| 2 | FC Differdingen 03 | 62 | 43.4% |
| 3 | Mondorf | 54 | 6.6% |
| 4 | FC Progrès Niederkorn | 53 | 6.1% |
| 5 | Racing Luxemburg | 50 | 1.4% |
| 6 | Bissen | 47 | 0.7% |
| 7 | F91 Düdelingen | 47 | 0.4% |
| 8 | Käerjéng | 44 | 0.5% |
| 9 | Walferdange | 42 | |
| 10 | Hostert | 37 | |
| 11 | Jeunesse d'Esch | 37 | |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 33 | |
| 13 | Swift Hesperingen | 30 | |
| 14 | Rumelange | 30 | |
| 15 | Wiltz | 29 | |
| 16 | Ettelbrück | 28 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 41 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||
| FC Differdingen 03 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||
| Mondorf | 7 | 15 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| FC Progrès Niederkorn | 6 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Racing Luxemburg | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| Bissen | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| F91 Düdelingen | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Käerjéng | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Walferdange | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| Hostert | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| Jeunesse d'Esch | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| Victoria Rosport | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 7 | ||||||
| Swift Hesperingen | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 21 | ||||||
| Rumelange | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 19 | |||||||
| Wiltz | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 21 | |||||||
| Ettelbrück | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 29 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct | FC Progrès Niederkorn | Käerjéng | 55% | 17% | 27% |
| Sun 18 Oct | Jeunesse d'Esch | Ettelbrück | 53% | 18% | 29% |
| Sun 18 Oct | Bissen | Hostert | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| Sun 18 Oct | Victoria Rosport | FC Differdingen 03 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| Sun 18 Oct | UNA Strassen | Racing Luxemburg | 48% | 18% | 34% |
| Sun 18 Oct | F91 Düdelingen | Swift Hesperingen | 52% | 18% | 30% |
| Sun 18 Oct | Walferdange | Rumelange | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| Sun 18 Oct | Mondorf | Wiltz | 55% | 17% | 28% |