Moldova
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Sheriff Tiraspol the likeliest champion, at 98.3%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 46 | 98.3% |
| 2 | Zimbru Chișinău | 39 | 0.9% |
| 3 | FC Petrocub | 39 | 0.8% |
| 4 | FC Milsami | 29 | |
| 5 | Dacia Buiucani | 28 | |
| 6 | Politehnica UTM | 22 | |
| 7 | Real Sireti | 16 | |
| 8 | Balti | 9 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 98 | 2 | ||||||
| Zimbru Chișinău | 1 | 53 | 47 | |||||
| FC Petrocub | 1 | 46 | 53 | |||||
| FC Milsami | 58 | 38 | 4 | |||||
| Dacia Buiucani | 40 | 53 | 7 | |||||
| Politehnica UTM | 2 | 9 | 87 | 2 | ||||
| Real Sireti | 2 | 98 | 1 | |||||
| Balti | 1 | 99 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7 Nov | FC Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Sat 7 Nov | Zimbru Chișinău | Real Sireti | 70% | 21% | 9% |
| Sun 8 Nov | Dacia Buiucani | Politehnica UTM | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Sun 8 Nov | FC Milsami | Balti | 70% | 21% | 9% |