Montenegro
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes FK Budućnost the likeliest champion, at 55.1%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Budućnost | 33 | 55.1% |
| 2 | FK Sutjeska Nikšić | 31 | 27.2% |
| 3 | Otrant | 29 | 9.9% |
| 4 | FK Mornar Bar | 28 | 6.3% |
| 5 | FK Dečic Tuzi | 26 | 1.0% |
| 6 | Bokelj | 25 | 0.5% |
| 7 | Petrovac | 22 | |
| 8 | Jezero | 20 | |
| 9 | Mladost DG | 18 | |
| 10 | FK Arsenal Tivat | 16 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Budućnost | 55 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | |||||
| FK Sutjeska Nikšić | 27 | 33 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| Otrant | 10 | 14 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | |||
| FK Mornar Bar | 6 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 2 | |||
| FK Dečic Tuzi | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | |
| Bokelj | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |
| Petrovac | 2 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 24 | 10 | 3 | |||
| Jezero | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 25 | 14 | |||
| Mladost DG | 3 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 29 | |||||
| FK Arsenal Tivat | 2 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 54 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | Jezero | FK Dečic Tuzi | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Tue 3 Nov | Otrant | FK Arsenal Tivat | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Sat 7 Nov | FK Dečic Tuzi | Mladost DG | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Sat 7 Nov | FK Sutjeska Nikšić | Petrovac | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Sat 7 Nov | FK Budućnost | Otrant | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Sat 7 Nov | Bokelj | FK Mornar Bar | 33% | 28% | 40% |
| Sat 7 Nov | FK Arsenal Tivat | Jezero | 41% | 28% | 31% |