Romania

One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes Dinamo Bukarest the likeliest champion, at 54.7%.

Predicted final table

Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.

Predicted final table for Romania
#	Club	Points	Title
1	Dinamo Bukarest	68	54.7%
2	CS Universitatea Craiova	67	41.2%
3	Rapid Bukarest	59	3.3%
4	Universitatea Cluj	55	0.5%
5	FCSB Bukarest	53	0.3%
6	CFR Cluj	50
7	Farul Constanta	48
8	Petrolul	45
9	UTA Arad	44
10	Corvinul	39
11	Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe	36
12	Otelul	34
13	Botosani	33
14	FC Arges	32
15	FC Voluntari	23
16	Csikszereda M. Ciuc	22

Where each club finishes

Probability of each finishing position, Romania
Club	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Dinamo Bukarest	55	36	7	2
CS Universitatea Craiova	41	47	9	2	1
Rapid Bukarest	3	12	46	21	10	4	2	1
Universitatea Cluj	1	4	19	32	22	12	6	3	1
FCSB Bukarest		1	11	22	23	18	14	6	3	1
CFR Cluj			4	10	18	23	21	15	7	3	1
Farul Constanta			3	7	14	24	21	17	9	3	2	1
Petrolul				2	6	11	19	22	20	12	5	2	1
UTA Arad			1	2	6	7	12	21	23	17	6	4	1
Corvinul					1	1	4	8	17	26	21	12	9	2
Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe							1	3	8	13	23	21	18	11	2
Otelul							1	2	5	9	16	21	22	20	5	1
Botosani							1	2	5	11	15	19	22	19	5	1
FC Arges								1	2	6	9	18	22	33	9	1
FC Voluntari											1	1	4	8	48	39
Csikszereda M. Ciuc												1	2	6	32	59

Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.

Fixtures

Upcoming fixtures in Romania with win, draw and loss probabilities
Date	Home	Away	Home win	Draw	Away win
Fri 6 Nov	UTA Arad	Petrolul	57%	24%	19%
Fri 6 Nov	FC Arges	Dinamo Bukarest	25%	26%	49%
Sat 7 Nov	FCSB Bukarest	Corvinul	68%	21%	11%
Sat 7 Nov	Csikszereda M. Ciuc	Universitatea Cluj	19%	24%	57%
Sat 7 Nov	Farul Constanta	Rapid Bukarest	36%	27%	36%
Sun 8 Nov	Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe	FC Voluntari	64%	22%	14%
Sun 8 Nov	CFR Cluj	CS Universitatea Craiova	38%	27%	34%
Mon 9 Nov	Botosani	Otelul	48%	26%	25%