Romania
One thousand simulations of the rest of the season, played out from the current Elo ratings. The model makes CS Universitatea Craiova the likeliest champion, at 53.9%.
Predicted final table
Points is the average across simulations; Title is the share of them the club finishes top of.
| # | Club | Points | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Universitatea Craiova | 61 | 53.9% |
| 2 | Dinamo Bukarest | 58 | 28.9% |
| 3 | Rapid Bukarest | 56 | 13.3% |
| 4 | CFR Cluj | 50 | 1.8% |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 50 | 1.4% |
| 6 | FCSB Bukarest | 46 | 0.5% |
| 7 | Petrolul | 42 | |
| 8 | Corvinul | 41 | |
| 9 | Farul Constanta | 41 | 0.1% |
| 10 | Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 37 | |
| 11 | UTA Arad | 37 | 0.1% |
| 12 | Botosani | 36 | |
| 13 | Otelul | 34 | |
| 14 | FC Arges | 32 | |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 26 | |
| 16 | Csikszereda M. Ciuc | 18 |
Where each club finishes
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Universitatea Craiova | 54 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Dinamo Bukarest | 29 | 33 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Rapid Bukarest | 13 | 24 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| CFR Cluj | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||||||
| Universitatea Cluj | 1 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| FCSB Bukarest | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Petrolul | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| Corvinul | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| Farul Constanta | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||||
| UTA Arad | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| Botosani | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||||
| Otelul | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| FC Arges | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 2 | |||||
| FC Voluntari | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 55 | 12 | |||||||||
| Csikszereda M. Ciuc | 1 | 2 | 12 | 85 |
Probability of each finishing position, in per cent. Blank is under 0.5%.
Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct | Otelul | Csikszereda M. Ciuc | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Fri 16 Oct | Dinamo Bukarest | Botosani | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Sat 17 Oct | Rapid Bukarest | Corvinul | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Sat 17 Oct | Petrolul | Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 49% | 26% | 26% |
| Sun 18 Oct | UTA Arad | CFR Cluj | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Sun 18 Oct | CS Universitatea Craiova | Farul Constanta | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Mon 19 Oct | Universitatea Cluj | FC Arges | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Mon 19 Oct | FC Voluntari | FCSB Bukarest | 25% | 25% | 50% |